Monday, October 3, 2011

Buy GMR; Target :Rs 35::ICICI Securities,

S t a k e   s a l e   i n   J u r o n g   I s l a n d   p r o j e c t   …
GMR Infrastructure (GMR) has agreed to sell a 30% stake in GMR Energy
(Singapore) Pte to Petronas International Corp. The deal has been done at
a 30% premium to its equity investment (S$127 million). Based on this
deal, GMR’s investment in the Jurong  Island project is valued at S$165
million implying contribution of |  1.6 per share. Furthermore, GMR has
announced that it has received letter of award for six laning of the biggest
stretch (Kishangarh-Udaipur-Ahmedabad stretch) covering 555 km.
ƒ Stake sale of 30% in Jurong Island project
GMR has agreed to sell a 30% stake in GMR Energy (Singapore) Pte to
Petronas International Corp. This deal has been done at 30% premium to
its equity investment (S$127 million). This implies a deal value of ~ S$50
million for a 30% stake. The transaction also values GMR’s investment in
Jurong Island project at S$165 million (S$115 million for 70% stake value
+ S$50 million as cash) from the deal implying contribution of |1.6/share
for GMR’s investment in the Jurong Island project. The Singapore unit is
developing a gas based 800 MW power project on Jurong Island. Total
cost of the project is S$1175 million with debt of S$670 million, equity of
S$127 million and shareholders’ loan of S$378 million.
ƒ Bags first mega project from NHAI
GMR has also bagged the mega project for six laning of the KishangarhUdaipur-Ahmedabad stretch. It is the biggest road project awarded by
NHAI covering 555 km (3336 lane km). Media reports indicate that the
project cost is ~| 7200 crore and the concession period is 26 years.
GMR will pay a premium of | 636 crore p.a. with 5% hike every year.
V a l u a t i o n
At the CMP, the stock is currently trading at an attractive valuation of 1.1x
FY13 P/BV. Hence, we are upgrading it to BUY recommendation with an
SOTP price target of | 35/share. We have not incorporated the Singapore
investment and mega project in our SOTP valuation. From a stock
performance point of view, we believe the implementation of regulated
tariff for DIAL and the PPA agreement for the power project under
development would act as key catalysts

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