Wednesday, November 23, 2011

RIL (CMP: `863/ TP: `1,060/ Upside:23%) ::Angel Model Portfolio: November 2011

RIL's upstream segment still has significant upside in store, considering the huge
untapped resources. Although RIL is producing natural gas below its potential
80mmscmd from KG-D6 due to constraints over reservoir pressure, we believe
that it will ramp up its production over the medium term with the help of
BP’s technical expertise.
􀂄 RIL has recently concluded several three-year exploration phases on the prospective
eastern coast and it is expected to commence with the development phase soon.
RIL expects to commence significant E&P activities from CY2014.
􀂄 RIL has been eyeing inorganic routes for diversifying its asset portfolio by entering
into newer ventures on the back of significant cash pile and treasury stocks. Initiatives
such as shale gas acquisitions, with in-place reserves of ~12TCF, could prove to be
a potential trigger for the stock in the long term.
􀂄 Over the last five years, RIL has traded at an average one-year forward PE of
17.7x, while currently it is trading at PE of 12.2x FY2012E and 11.0x FY2013E.
On a P/B basis, the stock is trading at 1.5x FY2012E and 1.3x FY2013E earnings.
We maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock with a target price of `1,060.

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